Of the 392 subjects who attended the clinic, 198 (50.5%) had at
least one type of age-related cataract, or had had previous cataract
surgery. Of the 372 men and women who are included in the analysis, 103
(27.7%) had evidence of nuclear opalescence, 123 (33.1%) had
increased nuclear color, 99 (26.6%) had cortical cataract, and 43
(11.6%) had posterior subcapsular opacity.
Table 1 summarizes the age, gender, level of obesity, and other known
risk factors for cataract in our study subjects according to the
presence or absence of the different types of age-related cataract.
Women were more likely to develop nuclear opalescent cataract (35% of
women vs. 22% of men, χ
2 = 8.27,
P = 0.004) but there were no gender differences in
prevalence of other types of cataract. Men and women with nuclear or
cortical cataract were significantly older than subjects without these
types of opacity. There was no significant age difference, however,
between subjects with and without posterior subcapsular cataract. There
were no significant differences in body mass index
(weight/height
2) between subjects with and
without any of the three types of cataract. Nuclear opalescent and
nuclear color cataract were found to have a very similar profile of
associations in the univariate analysis, hence only the results for
nuclear opalescent cataract are shown in
Table 1 . The subjects with
nuclear cataract had significantly lower levels of the antioxidant
alpha carotene. They also had lower reported alcohol intake than the
subjects without cataract. There were no differences in the prevalence
of other risk factors for nuclear cataract except that nonmanual
occupational social class was associated with less risk of increased
nuclear color cataract (23% vs. 34%,
P = 0.03). There
was no significant association between female gender and nuclear color
cataract. Subjects with cortical cataract were found to have
significantly lower plasma concentrations of the carotenoid
cis-lycopene, and had significantly higher cigarette
consumption. Cortical and posterior subcapsular types of cataract were
associated with higher levels of glycosylated hemaglobin (HbA1c).
However, the elevation was statistically significant only for cortical
opacity. Posterior subcapsular cataract was significantly associated
with myopia, and with subjects who reported receiving a course of
systemic steroids lasting 2 weeks or more in the 5 years before the
study, but not with any of the other factors presented in
Table 1 . None
of these risk factors were significantly related to birth weight or
other measurements of fetal growth (data not shown).
Table 2 shows how the risk of nuclear cataract is related to the measurements
of early growth. In these analyses, the odds ratios (or risk) of
nuclear cataract are shown according to approximate thirds of the
distribution of birth measurements before and after adjustment for
gestation and risk factors for nuclear cataract. The associations
between birth measurements and nuclear cataract were similar for both
opalescence and color, hence the results are shown for nuclear
opalescent cataract only
(Table 2) . Nuclear cataract risk was
significantly higher in people who had been heavier at birth. After
adjustment for known risk factors, men and women whose birth weight was
more than 8 lb had an odds ratio for nuclear cataract of 2.4 (95% CI
1.2 to 5.0) compared to those whose birth weight was under 6 lb 12 oz.
There were similar associations between nuclear cataract and other
indicators of increased fetal growth, although only the trends between
abdominal circumference and nuclear opalescent cataract
(Table 2) and
length and nuclear color were statistically significant (data not
shown). To check the consistency of our findings we also carried out a
multiple linear regression analysis using the raw LOCS III score for
nuclear opalescent cataract as the dependent variable and birth weight
as the independent variable. There was a positive association between
the two variables β = 0.06 (95% CI 0.0 to 0.13) per SD increase
in birth weight (
P = 0.06) after controlling for the
effects of age, sex, gestation, smoking, alcohol consumption, myopia,
social class, and plasma concentration of alpha carotene. This finding,
though not quite significant at the 5% level, is consistent with the
previous analysis. We could not check the consistency of our results
for cortical or posterior subcapsular cataract in the same way, because
their LOCS III scores were highly skewed from normal and were not
amenable to transformation.
The risk of cortical cataract fell slightly with increasing birth
weight
(Table 3) , but the trend was nonsignificant. The odds ratio for cortical
cataract for those whose birth weight was over 8 lb was 0.6 (95% CI
0.3 to 1.1) compared with participants whose birth weight was under 6
lb 12oz. After adjustment for gestation and other risk factors however,
the trend became very weak. Men and women born before 37 weeks
gestation were at increased risk. The odds ratio for cortical cataract
among subjects born before 37 weeks was 2.0 (95% CI 1.0 to 4.2)
compared with those born at term. However, in a multiple logistic
regression analysis with birth weight and gestational age as
independent variables, neither birth weight nor gestation remained
significant predictors of cortical cataract. None of the early-life
measurements appeared to show any trend or association with risk of
posterior subcapsular cataract
(Table 4) .
At least one type of cataract (nuclear, cortical, or posterior
subcapsular) or cataract surgery was present in either eye of 198
(51.8%) out of 382 subjects. (Also, 10 subjects were excluded because
they had non-age–related cataract). In a final series of logistic
regression analyses (data not shown), we examined whether parameters of
early growth were associated with the presence of at least one type of
age-related cataract. We found no associations between any of the
parameters of size at birth and subjects who had at least one type of
cataract or cataract surgery, either when controlling for the effects
of age and sex alone, or when also including age, sex, gestation, and
other risk factors for cataract in the model.