Although polymorphisms within or adjacent to
MMP2,
MMP1, and
MMP10 appear to be associated with ocular refraction in the AMISH sample, they showed no significant association in the ASHK group. Several possibilities could explain this discrepancy. First, the SNPs showing the highest association signals may not be the causative polymorphisms for ocular refractive development. The true causative alleles are more likely to be in linkage disequilibrium (LD) with rs9928731 and rs1939008. We believe, however, that better tagging of untyped, true causal alleles in the AMISH compared with the ASHK is an unlikely source of the difference in our findings between the groups. Specifically, the LD pattern surrounding rs1939008 on chr 11 appears virtually identical in the AMISH and ASHK samples (
Fig. 1), although the ASHK samples showed slightly less LD than the AMISH around rs9928731 (MMP2 on chr 16). Moreover, allele frequencies of typed SNPs were similar between the study populations (
Table 3). Hence, the putative true causative polymorphisms would have been equally well tagged by the selected markers in both the AMISH and ASHK groups. It is therefore unlikely that differences in LD structure contributed significantly to the discrepancy in our association findings. Second, both sets of families were sampled from largely endogamous, rapidly expanding, populations. It is possible that causative polymorphisms were introduced into the AMISH founder population after phylogenetic divergence from a common ancestral population. We believe this scenario to be possible but not very likely, considering the similarities in allele frequencies and LD patterns between the ASHK and AMISH within the regions of interest (
Table 3,
Fig. 1). Third, the distribution of ocular refraction in the underlying AMISH and ASHK populations is drastically different. Orthodox Jewish populations have been shown to have high rates of myopia, especially among males.
31,32 This is thought to be due to the influence of behavioral and environmental factors favorable for myopization, such as a strong community emphasis on lifelong religious scholarship, frequent prayer, and prolonged reading and devotional study. On the other hand, relatively low prevalences of refractive errors
1 have been reported among the Old Order Amish, who live rural agrarian lifestyles, oppose any forms of higher education, and eschew modern technological conveniences such as computers and televisions. Hence, the more extreme environmental factors that are ubiquitous in ASHK society may have introduced additional environmental variance in the ASHK cohort relative to the AMISH, potentially masking the genetic signal. This possibility would lead to lower power to detect association in the ASHK group, as the proportion of the variance due to additive genetic effects (i.e., the broad-sense heritability) would have been correspondingly smaller. It is also possible that the strong myopia-inducing environment among the ASHK overrides the heritable effect of polymorphisms in MMP genes on the distribution of refractive error. If this is the case, we would not expect replication of our findings in populations, such as South Asian Chinese and Japanese, with high prevalences of environmentally induced myopia.