Abstract
Purpose.:
To investigate the relationship between long-term glycemic control and localized neuroretinal function in adolescents with type 1 diabetes (T1D) without diabetic retinopathy (DR).
Methods.:
Standard (103 hexagons) and slow-flash (61 hexagons) multifocal ERGs (standard mfERG and sf mfERG) were recorded in 48 patients and 45 control subjects. Hexagons with delayed responses were identified as abnormal. Negative binomial regression analysis was conducted with the number of abnormal hexagons as the outcome variable. Glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) levels, time since diagnosis of T1D, age at diagnosis of T1D, age at testing, and sex were the covariates. Another model replacing HbA1c closest to the date of testing with a 1-year average was also generated.
Results.:
There were more abnormal hexagons for mfOPs in patients than in control subjects (P = 0.005). There was no significant difference in the mean number of abnormal hexagons for standard mfERG responses between patients and control subjects (P = 0.11). Negative binomial regression analysis for the standard mfERG data demonstrated that a 1-unit increase in HbA1c was associated with an 80% increase in the number of abnormal hexagons (P = 0.002), when controlling for age at testing. Analysis using the 1-year HbA1c averages did not result in significant findings.
Conclusions.:
Poor long-term glycemic control is associated with an increase in areas of localized neuroretinal dysfunction in adolescents with T1D and no clinically visible DR. Stricter glucose control during the early stages of the disease may prevent neuroretinal dysfunction in this cohort.
Diabetic retinopathy (DR) is a chronic microvascular complication of diabetes mellitus that may result in severe visual impairment. It affects nearly all people with type 1 diabetes (T1D) after ∼20 years' duration of the disease.
1 Recent data have shown a decrease in the prevalence of DR because of improved diabetes management and glycemic control.
2 However, the number of cases of DR is expected to increase because of the anticipated increase in the number of people diagnosed with diabetes. Whereas 440,000 children in 2006 were estimated to have T1D worldwide, 70,000 newly diagnosed cases are expected each year.
3 Therefore, DR constitutes a major health concern.
Current standards of diagnosis of DR, based on the modified Airlie House Classification,
4 primarily rely on vascular lesions visible on clinical examination. These vascular abnormalities, some of which may be sight-threatening, are clinically visible when the disease has progressed to later stages. To prevent vision loss in patients with diabetes, it is essential to establish reliable clinical markers of early-stage DR.
That DR has a major vascular component is unequivocal; however, the retina is primarily neural tissue. Studies have demonstrated neuroretinal dysfunction, including delayed and diminished oscillatory potentials (OPs), in patients with diabetes before the appearance of vascular lesions.
5 Decreased OP amplitudes have also been associated with the severity of DR
6 and are thought to predict development of proliferative DR.
7,8 Delayed multifocal OPs have been demonstrated in patients with diabetes
9–11 and to a greater extent in patients with DR.
9,10 Similarly, standard multifocal (mf)ERG studies have shown delayed implicit times in patients with diabetes that are exacerbated in patients with nonproliferative (NP)DR.
12 In patients with NPDR, localized retinal areas with delayed mfERG timing have been shown to precede the development of new vascular lesions.
13–16 Decreased amplitudes of the second-order response, which are suggested to reveal abnormalities in the circuitry involved in retinal adaptation,
17 have also been demonstrated in patients with diabetes.
18 Findings from these studies suggest that measures of localized neuroretinal function in particular could be useful biomarkers of the early changes associated with DR.
Glycated hemoglobin (HbA
1c) levels are an index of long-term glycemic control. Population-based studies, such as the Diabetes Control and Complications Trial (DCCT),
19,20 show that a high HbA
1c is a strong risk factor for increased incidence and progression of DR. The DCCT group
20 followed patients for an average of 7.4 years. Adolescent patients were assigned to intensive and conventional treatment groups. Those in the intensive treatment group, who had lower HbA
1c levels than those in the conventional treatment group, had a 53% decrease in the development and 70% decrease in the progression of DR. Glycemic control has been shown to be particularly impaired in adolescents with diabetes as puberty worsens metabolic control in this age group.
21–23
The purpose of the present study was to determine whether high HbA
1c levels in adolescents with T1D are associated with increased localized neuroretinal dysfunction, measured using standard and slow flash (sf) mfERG paradigms, before DR is clinically detectable. To this end, we generated a negative binomial regression model with covariates including HbA
1c and time since diagnosis of T1D, which are known risk factors of DR. Age at testing, age at diagnosis, and sex were included, since they were collected as part of the standard protocol, and previous research has shown that they may contribute to the model.
13–15
Negative binomial regression using the number of abnormal hexagons for patient standard mfERG responses yielded significant results. However, modeling using sf mfERG data did not.
Three iterations of the backward selection procedure were performed for standard mfERG data with the purpose of generating the simplest model that fit the data best. The first two models revealed that time since diagnosis (
P = 0.26) and sex (
P = 0.85) did not predict significantly the number of abnormal hexagons. Therefore, these covariates were excluded from further analysis. This adjustment led to a final model that included the covariates HbA
1c and age at testing (
P < 0.157). The model (
Table 2) showed that HbA
1c was the strongest predictor of the number of abnormal hexagons, followed by age at testing.
Table 2. Description and Results for the Final Model Including HbA1c and Age at Testing as Covariates
Table 2. Description and Results for the Final Model Including HbA1c and Age at Testing as Covariates
| β | eβ | CI (95%) | P |
Intercept (β0) | −0.36 | 0.70 | 0.00–98.9 | 0.89 |
HbA1c | 0.59 | 1.80 | 1.25–2.62 | 0.002 |
Age at testing | −0.26 | 0.77 | 0.59–1.00 | 0.054 |
A likelihood ratio test comparing the final model to the null model was significant (P = 0.003), which indicated that the final model fit the data better than the null model (all βs = 0). The model demonstrated that a 1-unit increase in HbA1c predicted an increase in the number of abnormal hexagons for implicit time of standard mfERG responses by a factor of 1.80 or by 80% when age at testing was held constant. A 1-year increase in age predicted a decrease in the number of abnormal hexagons by a factor of 0.77 or by 23% when HbA1c was held constant.
A scatterplot of the univariate correlation between the number of abnormal hexagons for implicit time of standard mfERG responses and HbA
1c (
Fig. 2) yielded a significant Spearman's ρ of 0.423 (
P = 0.001).
Negative binomial regression modeling using the 1-year HbA1c averages in lieu of the single HbA1c values obtained closest to the date of testing did not yield any significance.
The DCCT study (1993) emphasized the importance of tight glycemic control in reducing the development and progression of DR in patients with T1D, including specifically the adolescent cohort.
20 The present study investigated whether poor long-term glycemic control was associated with worsening localized neuroretinal dysfunction in adolescents with T1D. The final negative binomial regression model showed that high HbA
1c levels were associated with an increase in areas of localized neuroretinal dysfunction in this population when controlling for age at testing, before clinical signs of DR are visible. This step is an important one toward the larger goal of identifying accurate and sensitive biomarkers for monitoring retinal integrity in patients with diabetes and in identifying those at risk of DR.
With the same model, the 1-year average HbA1c data did not demonstrate significance, probably because of several factors. The model may be more sensitive to relatively short-term glycemic control over a period of about 3 months, rather than more chronic glycemic control over a period of 1 year. Also, data were available for only 39 of the 48 patients, which would have the reduced statistical power.
The results from the present study give support to multivariate predictive models generated by investigators in several studies that demonstrated that standard mfERG implicit times predict development of future DR in patients with existing DR at baseline.
13,15,16 The same group found a moderate correlation between HbA
1c and mfERG implicit times in adolescents with T1D (Bronson-Castain K, et al.
IOVS 2008;49:ARVO E-Abstract 2757).
47,48 Earlier, Klemp et al.
25 also demonstrated a correlation between HbA
1c and mfERG implicit times in patients with T1D without DR. There are several characteristics, however, that distinguish our study. First, to the best of our knowledge, our sample size is the largest among other studies of localized neuroretinal function in patients with diabetes. Also, previous studies have correlated HbA
1c with the mfERG implicit times averaged across the entire array of retinal patches; thus, no spatial information remains. Our study correlated HbA
1c with the number of abnormal hexagons. Therefore, we show a correlation between HbA
1c and the extent of abnormal retina.
In addition, blood glucose levels were monitored and maintained within 4 to 10 mM throughout the testing session. This method minimized the impact of acute changes in blood glucose levels, which have been shown to affect standard mfERG responses.
24,25 The 4 to 10 mM range was broad enough to ensure patient safety and allowed the blood glucose levels to be adjusted within a reasonable amount of time. Although it is likely that blood glucose levels may have changed slightly during the electrophysiological testing, the glucose levels were adjusted in consultation with the nurse, such that any changes would be minor and still within the prescribed range.
The lack of a significant difference in the mean number of abnormal hexagons for implicit time of standard mfERG responses (
Fig. 1a) between patient and control groups is contrary to findings in other studies that demonstrated delayed implicit time of standard mfERG responses in patients with diabetes.
12,25 The degree of variation in the data, which was greater in the patient group, provides one explanation for the lack of significance. This variation in the patient data, however, made it more amenable to a modeling approach. Another explanation may be our use of
z-scores in the analysis. Although the use of
z-scores may have reduced our sensitivity to small changes in implicit time, incorporating this with the spatial information available from the mfERG recordings would have introduced the statistical problem of multiple testing. This problem would also have had the effect of reducing sensitivity.
The finding of a greater number of abnormal hexagons on average for the timing of mfOP responses in comparison with control subjects is consistent with findings from other studies. Several full-field ERG studies have demonstrated decreased amplitudes and delayed timings of OPs in patients before DR is clinically visible.
5,6,8,49–53 More recently, sf mfERG studies in diabetic eyes demonstrated localized implicit time delays in mfOPs.
9–11 The significant difference in the number of abnormal hexagons between patient and control groups in our study is associated with a tight distribution with low variability in data from both groups (
Fig. 1b), which does not make it conducive to modeling. The significantly delayed responses in the patient group, however, may be attributable to retinal dysfunction as part of the disease mechanism of diabetes. Studies have demonstrated a loss of ganglion cells in rats with induced diabetes early in the course of the disease.
54–56 Loss of inner retinal neurons, including bipolar and amacrine cells has also been demonstrated.
55
The value of the subject's sex as a predictive covariate has been uncertain. Previous multivariate predictive models generated by others did not find sex to be a significant predictor of DR,
13,15,16 consistent with our results. Although some studies have implicated time since diagnosis or the duration of diabetes to be a strong risk factor for DR,
1,57,58 it was not found to be significantly associated with neuroretinal function in this study. A possible explanation is that studies have found that the number of years after puberty significantly affect the risk of developing DR as opposed to the years before onset of puberty.
59–64 Since our model was focused on adolescents, the number of postpubertal years may not be high enough to show an effect. The model also demonstrates that a 1-year increase in age is associated with a decrease in the number of abnormal hexagons by 23% when controlling for HbA
1c. In an older population, natural aging has an effect on standard mfERG responses.
65 In our adolescent population, however, we found no correlation between the ages of control participants and the number of abnormal hexagons.
It is interesting to note that, although HbA
1c is the most widely used index of glycemic control and is strongly associated with the complications of diabetes,
19,20,66 it alone may not provide complete information about a patient's metabolic state. It has been suggested that variability in blood glucose levels may also be associated with complications of diabetes.
67–69 However, given that studies have demonstrated conflicting results
70–73 and that there is no agreement on the optimal measure of blood glucose variability,
74 HbA
1c was chosen as the best measure of glycemic control for use in the present study.
Modeling results involving HbA1c closest to the date of mfERG testing supported the study's hypothesis and led to the conclusion that poor long-term glycemic control is associated with an increase in areas of neuroretinal dysfunction in patients with diabetes before DR is clinically visible. In summary, this study's findings highlight the importance of maintaining good glycemic control in patients with diabetes. The findings suggest that intensive diabetes management early in the disease process may prevent neuroretinal dysfunction in adolescents with T1D without clinically evident DR.
Supported by the Juvenile Diabetes Research Foundation, a Vision Science Research Program Graduate Student Scholarship (EL), a Banting and Best Diabetes Center Novo Nordisk Graduate Studentship (EL), and a University of Toronto Fellowship (EL).
Disclosure:
E. Lakhani, None;
T. Wright, None;
M. Abdolell, None;
C. Westall, None
The authors thank Denis Daneman for guidance and advice, Marcia Wilson for titrating and monitoring patient blood glucose levels, Melissa Cotesta for conducting refraction, Peter Glazer and Dolores Terrick for assistance with recruiting patients, Cynthia VandenHoven for fundus photography, and Giuseppe Mirabella for assistance with statistical analysis and a review of the manuscript.