The demographic and clinical data of participants at baseline and 36-month visits are given in
Table 1. A total of 64 participants completed the baseline visit and 52 completed the 36-month visit. The baseline cohort included 29 males and 35 females (χ
2 = 0.56,
P = 0.45). Mean age was 51.9 ± 14.7 years. Age (males, 55.1 ± 14.0 years; females, 49.3 ± 15.0 years;
P = 0.12) and CNFL (males, 17.7 ± 3.6 mm/mm
2; females, 18.2 ± 3.7 mm/mm
2;
P = 0.62) did not differ between sexes. Four participants (6%) reported to be current smokers with an average 19 cigarettes per day. The CNFL was not significantly different between current smokers and nonsmokers (
t = 1.3,
P = 0.20). A total of 52 participants (81%) reported current alcohol use with an average 5.9 units/wk. No significant correlation was found between alcohol consumption (units/week) and CNFL (Spearman's Rho,
r s = −0.09,
P = 0.53) at baseline visit. Nine participants were taking antidepressant medications during study period. No association was observed between the use of antidepressant drugs and mean CNFL at annual visits (independent samples
t-test,
P = 0.88, 0.31, 0.32, and 0.86 at baseline, and year 1, 2, and 3 visits, respectively).
Participants were divided into three age groups: group 1, aged <45 years (
n = 19); group 2, aged 45 to 59 years (
n = 25); and group 3, aged ≥60 years (
n = 20,
Table 2). There was no significant effect of age group on CNFL (Welch ANOVA,
P = 0.50).
Apart from a clinically insignificant decline in HbA
1c (
P < 0.01) over 36 months, there were no significant changes to health, metabolic, or ocular screening measures (
Table 1). There also was no correlation between absolute changes in CNFL and HbA
1c from baseline to the 36-month visit (Pearson,
r = 0.11,
P = 0.49).
The LMM1 was deployed to determine the association of age and CNFL. Using a backward elimination procedure, fixed effects of sex*age interaction (
F [1,30] = 0.02,
P = 0.89) and sex (
F [1,16] = 0.04,
P = 0.85) were sequentially removed. Type III tests of fixed effects revealed that there was a significant influence of age on CNFL (
F [1,33] = 5.67,
P = 0.02). Estimates of fixed effects and covariance parameters are presented in
Table 3.
The natural history of CNFL over the 36-month observation period is depicted graphically in the
Figure. The LMM2 revealed that the linear effects of time (
F [1,55] = 0.69,
P = 0.41), sex (
F [1,61] = 1.10,
P = 0.30), age at enrollment (
F [1,60] = 1.13,
P = 0.29), and time*sex interaction (
F [1,55] = 1.41,
P = 0.24) were not statistically significant. To eliminate further the potential confounding effect of antidepressant drugs on the analysis of data relating to the longitudinal course of CNFL in healthy participants, LMM2 was repeated excluding participants who were receiving antidepressant therapy during the study period. The results were similar to those for the total cohort, with no significant effect of time (
P = 0.47), sex (
P = 0.25), age at enrollment (
P = 0.29), and time*sex interaction (
P = 0.16).