Of the 380 subjects (207 male and 173 female) included in the analysis, 78 (20.5%; 45 male and 33 female) had signs of either early or late age-related macular degeneration in the worse eye. This comprised 64 (16.8%) subjects with early macular degeneration, and 14 (3.7%) with signs of late macular degeneration. Because of the small number of subjects with late macular degeneration, those with early and late onset were combined for the analysis.
Table 1 summarizes the age, gender, plasma carotenoid xanthophyll pigment levels and other suspected risk factors for macular degeneration of our study sample, according to the presence or absence of macular degeneration. Subjects with macular degeneration were significantly older than those without, but there were no significant gender differences. The plasma concentration of the xanthophyll pigment zeaxanthin was significantly lower in those subjects with age-related macular degeneration than in those without. The plasma concentration of the other ocular xanthophyll pigment lutein was also lower in those subjects with macular degeneration, but the difference was not significant. Participants with macular degeneration had smoked more cigarettes than those without, although the difference was not statistically significant. Total alcohol consumption was no different among participants with and without macular degeneration, but a significantly greater proportion of participants with macular degeneration reported drinking beer once a week or more compared with those without. By contrast, wine consumption was greater among the participants without macular degeneration, though the difference was nonsignificant. Twenty-two (6%) subjects had undergone coronary artery bypass grafting or angioplasty. A history of having had either of these two procedures performed was reported significantly more frequently among those subjects with macular degeneration than in those without (12% vs. 4% respectively;
P = 0.02). Subjects with age-related macular degeneration tended to be more hypermetropic than those without, though the difference was not statistically significant. There were no significant differences in the proportions of participants from social classes I-IIIa (nonmanual) among the groups with and without macular degeneration; however, there was a small (nonsignificant) difference in level of education between the groups with and without macular degeneration. Those without macular degeneration were a little more likely to report having stayed on at school beyond the age of 14.
Tables 2 and 3 show how risk of macular degeneration is related to measurements of early growth. The mean birth weight of subjects with age-related macular degeneration was significantly higher than that of those without (7.6 lb compared with 7.3 lb, respectively;
P = 0.03). After adjustment for age, sex, plasma zeaxanthin, cigarette smoking, beer consumption, hypermetropic refractive error, and educational attainment in infants born at term or beyond, there was a significant trend such that the odds ratio for risk of macular degeneration increased 1.5 fold (95% CI 1.1–2.0) for each standard deviation increase in birth weight. There were no other significant relationships between size at birth or gestational age and macular degeneration in univariate analyses, although infants in whom macular degeneration developed tended to be longer (
P = 0.1). This relationship was strengthened after adjustment for risk factors for macular degeneration (
P = 0.05).
Table 4 shows how measures of fetal proportion previously used in the analysis of the relationships of fetal growth to adult disease
22 are related to the presence of age-related macular degeneration. Although neither ponderal index, nor head circumference-to-length ratio was significantly associated with macular degeneration, subjects with signs of early or late macular degeneration had a significantly lower head circumference-to-birth weight ratio (
P = 0.01)—that is, infants whose head circumference was small in relation to their birth weight were at increased risk. We explored this further in a multivariate model, adjusting simultaneously for both birth weight and head circumference and for age, sex, and other risk factors for macular degeneration. Both increased birth weight and decreased head circumference were significantly associated with increased risk of age-related macular degeneration. In this model, the odds ratio for macular degeneration was 2.0 (95% CI 1.3–3.0;
P = 0.001) for each standard deviation increase in birth weight, and 0.6 (95% CI 0.4–0.9;
P = 0.008) for each standard deviation increase in head circumference. As expected, birth weight and head circumference are correlated (
r = 0.7
P < 0.001), raising the possibility in this model of colinearity’s causing unstable estimates of effect. We therefore derived standardized residuals from a linear regression of head circumference on birth weight and used these in a further logistic regression model.
Table 5 shows that the residuals of head circumference on birth weight affect risk of age-related macular degeneration. In each of the models (age- and sex-adjusted, multivariate-adjusted, and multivariate-adjusted) excluding preterm births, an increase in the residual—that is, larger head circumference in relation to birth weight—was associated with a significantly decreased risk of age-related macular degeneration. In other words, larger head circumference was associated with lower risk of macular degeneration, once an allowance was been made for birth weight.