Odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated for covariates, and genotypes by using logistic regression (controlling for age [60–79, 80+] and sex) to evaluate their association with each maculopathy group (GA and NV), and total AMD (GA and NV combined), with controls. t-Tests were used to calculate probabilities values for age between cases and controls. P ≤ 0.05 was considered statistically significant for all analyses.
The Wilcoxon rank sum test was used to calculate probabilities to assess the relationship between the median plasma level of complement components and activation fragments and maculopathy group.
ORs and 95% CIs for total AMD were computed to compare the fourth quartile with the first quartile of the component and activation fragments using logistic regression. In model A, we controlled for age (60–79, 80+), sex, BMI (<25, 25–29.9, 30+), and smoking (ever, never). In model B, we controlled for the same factors as in model A, plus all the genotypes: CFB (CC and CT/TT), CFH:Y402H (TT, CT, and CC), CFH:rs1410996 (TT, CT, and CC), C2 (GG and CG/CC), LOC387715/ARMS2 (GG and GT/TT), C3 (CC, CG, and GG), and CFI (CC, CT, and TT).
ORs and 95% CIs for AMD were calculated for each genotype separately with one component or activation fragment at a time to assess whether the effect of genotype was mediated by that complement component or activation fragment. We used log component and activation fragment values, because the distribution was slightly skewed, to assess associations with genotype among controls using linear regression. In addition, linear regression was used to test the relationship between each complement component or activation fragment and smoking and BMI, both among the controls and among the cases and controls combined. To see whether the effects of genotype and complement components and activation fragments were dependent on one another, we used logistic regression to test for interaction effects on risk of AMD.
General linear model analysis was used to calculate the least-squares (LS) mean, to assess the relationship between the mean level of components or fragments and genotype among the cases and controls combined. In this model we controlled for age, sex, AMD status, and all the genotypes.
Concordance, or
C, statistics were calculated to assess whether activation fragments contribute to the predictability of developing advanced AMD. Similar to our previous studies,
16,18,24 the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was obtained, and an age-adjusted
C statistic based on the ROC curve was calculated.
C statistics were calculated for six models with various combinations of covariates, genotypes, and activation fragments, to assess the probability that the risk score from a random case was higher than the corresponding risk score from a random control, based on the group of risk factors in each model, such that a perfect score would be 1.0, or 100%, predictability. We obtained standard errors of estimated
C statistics and compared
C statistics from alternative risk prediction models by using correlated ROC curve methods.