This study has shown that there is very little difference in refractive error between age groups in this population-based sample of older Iranians, which contrasts with the major differences between age groups that have been reported in East Asian populations.
18,34,35 In this population, there was an unexpected biphasic pattern of change in lens power in the different age groups, which we suggest can be attributed to differences in height, a product of social changes over the period in which the study population grew up.
It is widely understood that patterns of longitudinal change cannot be derived from cross-sectional data alone because of the potential confounding of longitudinal changes and cohort effects. This greatly limits the conclusions that can be drawn from most population-based epidemiological studies, which is unfortunate because the majority of the data available are cross-sectional, and this is likely to continue to be the case. However, in the absence of cohort effects, the pattern of cross-sectional differences with age should simply reflect the pattern of longitudinal change. Therefore, with some information about general longitudinal changes with age, and with information about relevant secular changes in the population, it may be possible to make sense of the cross-sectional patterns observed.
There is some information in the case of refractive error and ocular biometry. The available evidence suggests that corneal power and diameter are remarkably stable from the age of 2 to 3 years until well into adult life.
17,36–40 Axial length increases at least for the first two decades of life, and this may continue into the third decade in some situations. Since changes in corneal radius and axial length are minimal after the age of 30, the AL/CR ratio is likely to be stable beyond this age. In addition, despite the absence of direct evidence, it is generally accepted that there are longitudinal hyperopic shifts in refraction due to slow loss of lens power for much of adult life,
17,23 until marked myopic shifts in refraction occur in association with the formation of nuclear cataracts.
28,41–43
In relation to secular changes, there has been an increase in height in many, if not most, populations over the last century or so, and particularly in the last few decades, as standards of nutrition have improved.
44–48 In general, increased height is associated with longer axial lengths and flatter corneas.
8,49–55 This association appears to start in newborn infants, since heavier babies have longer axial lengths and flatter corneas—an association that continues during subsequent development in the childhood years.
56–59 In parallel, increased height primarily involves accelerated growth in the first 2 years of life.
44,45 However, increased height and longer axial length, on its own, did not lead to more myopic refractions in this study, probably because emmetropization matches axial length to the refractive power of the cornea and lens early in development. Consistent with this idea, while there have been sporadic reports of a relationship between greater height and more myopic refraction,
51,60 many other studies have reported that there is no relationship.
50,52,53,58,61–64 Interestingly, the largest report on Israeli army conscripts
65 reported an inverse relationship (lesser height associated with more myopia), which may suggest that the relationship is social rather than biological, perhaps related to diet and/or study habits.
Many studies have reported a cross-sectional association of education and myopia.
8 The rapid increase in the prevalence of myopia over the past 50 years in some East and Southeast Asian countries has generally been attributed to the development of mass, highly competitive and intense education systems, with increased axial elongation and myopia in better-educated people. In these countries, the two secular changes have occurred in parallel, leading to a combination of flatter corneas, excessively elongated axial lengths, increased AL/CR ratios, and more myopic refractions.
In many respects, this population of Iranian adults from Shahroud represents a contrasting pattern, with the prevalence of myopia greater than −0.50 diopters stable with age and sex at around 20%, despite the fact that the younger adults were taller and had longer axial lengths. There was, however, some reduction in the prevalence of emmetropia and an increase in the prevalence of hyperopia in older adults, probably indicative of longitudinal hyperopic shifts in refraction produced by loss of lens power. The increased axial length was associated with greater height in the younger (middle-aged) adults, and greater height was also associated with flatter corneas, which resulted in AL/CR ratios that were stable with age. In contrast to expectation, lens power did not decrease monotonically with age, but was particularly low in the youngest age group. The lower power of the lens in larger eyes of younger people would also help to neutralize the impact of the increased axial length on refraction, as could be also the case for a posterior location of the lens in taller subjects (with bigger anterior segment lengths in this study).
Consistent with these patterns, there was a slight increase in height in the younger age groups of this population, in both men and women, which appears to be associated with increased axial lengths, flatter corneas, and less powerful lenses. There was a slight increase in education with age, particularly in women, but in no case did the mean level of education go significantly beyond the primary school years. In other studies, there is some evidence that a threshold level of education, beyond the primary school years, has to be achieved to significantly increase the prevalence of myopia. For example, in Singapore, the prevalence of myopia, estimated from visual acuity measurements, was low for those with only primary school education, but began to increase with different levels of high school and further education.
18 Similarly, in the Refractive Error Study in Children in rural Nepal, where school enrolment rates are low and where most children do not go beyond primary school, there was no increase in the prevalence of myopia with age.
66 The adults in the present study had average education to the end of primary school, and although the years of education had increased significantly for women, this might have been insufficient to result in any appreciable increase in the prevalence of myopia.
The results of this study can be usefully compared with other studies, in particular the Tanjong Pagar Study.
50 In that study, there was a markedly higher prevalence of myopia in the youngest cohort, even before older subjects with nuclear cataract were omitted. Younger subjects were taller and better educated, and there was a clear association between increased education and a more myopic refraction, but there was no relationship between increased height and refraction.
To our knowledge, this is the first report showing that younger, taller generations have eyes with longer axial lengths, longer anterior segments, flatter corneas, and lower-powered lenses, irrespective of refractive error. We have calculated lens powers from published data for three other population-based studies; as can be seen in
Table 5, lens power was again lower in those who were taller or had higher birth weights.
These findings in different studies pose the question of how the eye manages to adapt lens power to partially compensate for axial diameter. The lens has an internal power given by the progressive increase in refractive index from the surface to the center that can account for half of its power. The growing aging lens naturally loses power by a progressive steepening of this gradient of refractive index.
67 Lens growth in animal models is sensitive to humoral factors present in the adjacent peripheral retina and the vitreous
68 ; and perhaps the rate of growth could alter the lens gradient of refractive index (a lens that grows at a slow rate would tend to steepen its gradient, and interestingly, taller subjects in this study had thinner lenses). There may be a possible relation between lens power loss and axial length growth in the sense that they could be mutually coordinated during the growth period, as has been previously discussed when a greater rate of lens power loss was found in children at the time of axial myopia development.
13
The lens as a whole has a limited capacity for loss of power, given the fact that once the superficial layers are compacted and the gradient of refractive index reaches its maximum steepness, no further loss can be accomplished. Subjects with shorter eyes, who have higher lens power to begin with (shallower gradient), could be prone to greater amounts of loss. Perhaps the fact that women have shorter eyes with steeper corneas and more powerful lenses
23 makes them more prone to having hyperopic shifts by loss of lens power with aging. This is consistent with the fact that women have a greater prevalence of hyperopia with aging and with the fact that at older ages, when the lens power is decreased, they end up with lens power similar to that of men, as if this was the lower mean lens power that could be achieved with aging (
Fig. 1).
Finally, in Shahroud, the lens power was lower in the younger, taller generations and also lower in the older subjects. This last change is probably due to hyperopic changes driven by lens power loss in older subjects. Evidence of this is the increasing prevalence of cycloplegic hyperopia in men and women from age 50 to 65 years in this study. Hyperopia in adults has been shown to be related to decreased lens power.
23 The trend for increased lens power in the smaller eyes of the shorter older generations in this study is probably cancelled by the loss of lens power with aging, resulting in a biphasic pattern of lens power change with age.
These observations have an important clinical implication. Significant changes in height have been observed in most populations in recent years; and there have also been significant, and sometimes rapid, changes in education. This means that population norms for refraction and ocular biometry established on older people may no longer be valid for younger people; and where there have been rapid changes in height and education, population norms for screening and clinical use may need to be updated regularly.
In conclusion, we have found that the bigger eyes in the younger age groups in this study are still emmetropic but have greater axial lengths, with lower corneal and lens powers and bigger anterior segment lengths. In the absence of other secular changes that affect eye growth, such as increases in educational standards, early emmetropization and loss of lens power seem to minimize the effect of changes in height and ocular biometry on refraction. It will be interesting to see how these parameters change in the younger generations in Iran, where educational and nutritional standards have continued to improve.