For this analysis, the outcomes of interest were incidence of cataract, cataract surgery, and early or late AMD. The main risk factors were measures of body adiposity including BMI, WC, WHR, and WHtR that were measured beginning at the second examination (BDES2, 1993–1995). Participants were seen every 5 years from baseline, and data from each 5-year interval was combined to determine risk of the given outcome over a long-term 15-year follow-up. Incidence of the outcome was determined at the person level, combining data from both eyes. At the start of the interval, a person was considered at risk for the outcome if they were free of disease in both eyes. Incidence at the following examination (end of the 5-year interval) was determined if the person had disease in either eye. Persons were eligible to contribute to analysis until incidence of the outcome of interest or censoring occurred. To contribute to analysis in a given 5-year interval, a person must have had complete data on the risk factors of interest (BMI, WHR, WC, or WHtR) and the outcome (incident nuclear, cataract, cortical cataract, or PSC, cataract surgery, or early or late AMD) and all covariates included in the maximally adjusted model (age, sedentary lifestyle, diabetes, hypertension). All analyses were performed with stratification by sex and smoking status.
All models presented were fit using the discrete-time hazard model with complementary log-log link function and time varying predictors.
38 Risk variables were updated and censoring was accounted for appropriately. In this way, change in the risk profile, for example being a nonsmoker and becoming a smoker, were updated at the beginning of each 5-year interval.
P values represent a two-tailed test of significance with α equaling 0.05. Effects of body measures on risk of ocular outcomes were examined in an age adjusted model and a maximally adjusted model which included age, sedentary lifestyle, and presence of hypertension and diabetes. SAS version 9.3 (SAS Institute, Inc., Cary, NC, USA) was used for all analyses.