Only 3 of the 20 evaluations (15%; 95% CI, 3%–38%) complied
with this standard. If sensitivity and specificity estimates are
reported without a measure of precision, clinicians cannot know the
range within which the true values of sensitivity and specificity may
lie. For example, the sensitivity estimate of 73% for a laboratory
test for ocular sarcoidosis
26 based on only 22 patients
has a 95% CI ranging from 54% to 92%. In contrast, the specificity
estimate of 83% has better precision (95% CI, 74%–92%), a
reflection of both the higher point estimate and the larger sample size
used by the researchers for their nonsarcoid group (
n =
70) (Note: The formula for the SE of a proportion,
\(\sqrt{(\mathit{pq}/\mathit{n})}\) , is based on a binomial
approximation to the normal distribution and can be used to calculate
95% CIs for sensitivity and specificity:
p ± 1.96
\(\sqrt{(\mathit{pq}/\mathit{n})}\) , where
p represents
either sensitivity or specificity,
q = 1 −
p, and
n is the sample size for either sensitivity or
specificity. When
p or
q ×
n is
less than 5, the validity of the approximation becomes doubtful, and
exact methods should be used to calculate the 95% CI [see
Fig. 1 ]).
There is widespread use of statistical CIs in the ophthalmic
literature, and journals usually require CIs to be specified for
descriptive estimates and analytic comparisons.
32 However,
the same journals seem less vigilant for evaluations of diagnostic
accuracy.