Although this relationship seems to be relatively repeatable, the one attempt to try to validate this relationship yielded inconclusive results. When Kok et al.
11 applied their derived model to a group of patients before and after cataract surgery to predict average RNFL changes due to changes in SS, their prediction was off by 3.71 ± 2.97 μm. They concluded that the predictive nature of their formula was “limited.” That conclusion may be premature for a number of reasons; and the relationship between RNFL and SS that they found, and that we confirmed, may still have predictive value. First, as they suggest in their discussion, RNFL thickness is affected by cataract surgery, likely via inflammatory mediators causing increased retinal vascular permeability and leakage. It has been shown that the average RNFL thickness 4 weeks following cataract surgery is approximately 4 μm greater than preoperative measurements
14 and that thickening could potentially remain for up to 3 months following surgery.
15 This transient thickening of the RNFL could account completely for the difference in their measured and predicted RNFL. Second, they cite that interindividual slopes between SS and average RNFL vary too much to be useful. That conclusion may be inaccurate, as it was based on a small sample size as well as an unstable testing environment, as noted above. In our sample of 54 eyes, we found the variability in the mean slope of a population to be very low (i.e., a mean of 1.03 and a 95% CI of 1.01–1.05). The interindividual variability was accounted for in the upper tolerance limit of 4.40 μm, which not only describes the variability due to repeated measures but also captures the individual variability between SS and RNFL. In our model, although individual slopes may not exactly match the group mean, the upper tolerance limit provides a means of accounting for this variability. Third, Kok et al.
11 do not consider the confounding factor of repeated measures as a reason for the “limited” predictive value of their equation. Ours and other studies have shown that their “misprediction” could result almost entirely from test–retest variability (see more on this in the discussion below). Lastly, Kok et al.
11 conclude that their derived relationship seems to hold only in the artificial environment of measuring RNFL with optical filters and did not persist in a real-life situation. Contrary to this line of reasoning, the same relationship between SS and RNFL was seen in the Kim et al.
3 study, and their study included both glaucomatous patients and normals. It would be worthwhile to validate this relationship in a different setting, that is, a retrospective or prospective study of glaucoma and/or glaucoma suspect patients.