A total of 313 children (78.3%) completed the 3-year study, of whom 147 were treated with atropine and 166 with placebo. At the initial visit, there was no difference in age (9.24 vs. 9.15 years, P = 0.495), sex (56.9% vs. 52.4% males, P = 0.538), spherical equivalent (−3.36 vs. −3.58 D, P = 0.074), K (43.65 vs. 43.82 D, P = 0.170), ACD (3.87 vs. 3.89 mm, P = 0.488), LT (3.41 vs. 3.42 mm, P = 0.751), VCD (17.52 vs. 17.50 mm, P = 0.554), or AL (24.80 vs. 24.80 mm, P = 0.837) between atropine- and placebo-treated eyes. There was no significant difference between children lost to follow-up and those still in the study with regard to age, sex, spherical equivalent, K, ACD, LT, VCD, and AL.
Between baseline and 36 months, myopic progression (−1.55 D) was observed in placebo-treated eyes. This was accompanied by reductions in K (−0.13 D) and ACD (−0.17 mm) and increases in LT (0.05 mm), VCD (0.65 mm), and AL (0.53 mm) (Fig.). Looking at the biometric growth pattern stratified into ages 6.0 to 7.9, 8.0 to 9.9, and 10.0 to 12.0 years, changes of the various parameters over time were unidirectional (with no U-shaped relation noted), although rate of change was greater in younger children.
In the atropine-treated eyes, the hyperopic shift between baseline and 4 months was accompanied by a reduction in LT (
P = 0.013), VCD (
P < 0.001), and AL (
P < 0.001). Between 4 and 24 months, while still on atropine, there was a gradual increase in myopia, which was accompanied by reduction in K (
P < 0.001) and ACD (
P < 0.001), and increase in VCD (
P < 0.001) and AL (
P = 0.006). Compared with placebo-treated eyes, atropine-treated eyes showed less myopic progression and less increase in LT (
P = 0.034), VCD (
P < 0.001), and AL (
P < 0.001) between 4 and 24 months. When atropine was stopped (between 24 and 30 months), there was a marked increase in myopia and greater reduction in ACD (
P = 0.008), and increase in LT (
P < 0.001), VCD (
P < 0.001), and AL (
P < 0.001) compared with placebo-treated eyes. Atropine-treated eyes continued to demonstrate greater rates of myopic progression compared with placebo-treated eyes between 30 and 36 months, but these were mainly accompanied by an increase in VCD (
P < 0.001) and AL (
P < 0.001). These results have been summarized in
Table 1. Median, 25th percentile, and 75th percentile values have been presented.
To determine which factors were most associated with the hyperopic shift and myopic rebound in the atropine-treated eyes, a multivariate linear regression was performed using spherical equivalent as the independent variable, with K, ACD, LT, and VCD as dependent variables, adjusting for age and sex (
Table 2). This showed that in atropine-treated eyes, the hyperopic shift between baseline and 4 months and myopic rebound between 24 and 30 months were both associated with a reduction and increase in VCD, respectively. A comparison of atropine- and placebo-treated eyes between 24 and 30 months also showed that there was a small reduction in K, which was similar in the two groups, and a relative increase in LT in atropine-treated eyes. Change in spherical equivalent in placebo-treated eyes was more complex, being associated with reduction in K and an increase in LT and VCD.