We assessed the ability of OCT-MI technique to detect hydroxychloroquine retinopathy using a cross-validation approach. The study population was divided randomly into two subsamples: subsample 1, consisting of 10 affected and 19 unaffected eyes/participants, was first used as a training set, and subsample 2, consisting of 9 affected and 19 unaffected eyes/participants, was used as a validation set. The ROC, area under the curve (AUC), and Youden's J statistic were calculated for each parameter in the training set. The optimal cutoff was applied to the validation set to determine its performance.
Table 3 shows the optimal cutoff for each parameter in the first subsample and the performance of the second subsample. For example, using Youden's J statistic for the inner inferior subfield MI
median, the optimal cutoff for the training set was 51.70 (AUC = 1.00; sensitivity = 100%, confidence interval [CI] 69%–100%; specificity = 100%, CI 82%–100%) (
Fig. 4A). When this cutoff point was applied to the validation set, similar results were obtained: of 9 affected patients, 8 were identified correctly (sensitivity = 89%), and of 19 unaffected patients, 18 were identified correctly (specificity = 95%) (
Fig. 4B). When this analysis was performed in the reverse order with subsample 2 as the training subset, the optimal cutoff point for inner inferior subfield MI
median was found to be 50.65 (AUC = 0.99; sensitivity = 100%, CI 66%–100%; specificity = 95%, CI 74%–100%) (
Fig. 4C). Applied to subsample 1 for validation, affected patients were fully identified: all 10 subjects with toxicity were identified correctly (sensitivity = 100%), and all 19 unaffected patients were identified correctly (specificity = 100%) (
Fig. 4D).
Although the left eyes of our study population do not represent an independent data set, we observed the performance of the left eyes by applying cutoff values determined from the right eyes. The optimal cutoff values for all right eyes, right eye subsample 1, and right eye subsample 2 of the inner inferior subfield were MImedian = 51.05, 51.70, and 50.65, respectively. These cutoff points were then applied to the inner inferior subfield of left eyes and they all performed equally well (sensitivity = 90% and specificity = 97% for all three cutoff values).