Investigative Ophthalmology & Visual Science Cover Image for Volume 61, Issue 7
June 2020
Volume 61, Issue 7
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ARVO Annual Meeting Abstract  |   June 2020
Development of a multivariable prediction model to predict subjective refraction in patients with refractive errors
Author Affiliations & Notes
  • Aline Lutz de Araujo
    Department of Ophthalmology and Visual Sciences, Universidade Federal de São Paulo, Brazil
    Telehealth Center, Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil
  • Henrique Dias Pereira Santos
    School of Technology, Pontifícia Universidade Católica do Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil
  • Daniel Sganzerla
    Hospital Moinhos de Vento, Brazil
  • Roberto Nunes Umpierre
    Telehealth Center, Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil
  • Paulo Schor
    Department of Ophthalmology and Visual Sciences, Universidade Federal de São Paulo, Brazil
  • Footnotes
    Commercial Relationships   Aline de Araujo, None; Henrique Santos, None; Daniel Sganzerla, None; Roberto Umpierre, None; Paulo Schor, None
  • Footnotes
    Support  None
Investigative Ophthalmology & Visual Science June 2020, Vol.61, 5172. doi:
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      Aline Lutz de Araujo, Henrique Dias Pereira Santos, Daniel Sganzerla, Roberto Nunes Umpierre, Paulo Schor; Development of a multivariable prediction model to predict subjective refraction in patients with refractive errors. Invest. Ophthalmol. Vis. Sci. 2020;61(7):5172.

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      © ARVO (1962-2015); The Authors (2016-present)

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Abstract

Purpose : To test machine learning models to predict subjective ocular refraction from patients’ demographics and ophthalmological data, and to compare the model’s performance with an automatic refractometer.

Methods : Dataset comprised ophthalmic examination data of 17,039 eyes from the TeleOftalmo, a teleophthalmology project in the Brazilian public health system. We collected the following variables to be tested as attributes in the predictive model: age, gender, race, symptoms, uncorrected visual acuity, best corrected visual acuity, pinhole visual acuity, intraocular pressure (Visuplan, Zeiss, Germany), current spectacles’ dioptric power, keratometry measurements and automatic refraction (Visuref, Zeiss, Germany). Same-day subjective refraction performed by an ophthalmologist was defined as the target attribute. Subjective refraction was converted into power vectors (M, J0 and J45). We used the Orange Data Mining toolbox in Python to run the tests. Performances of Random Forest, Linear Regression, and Neural Network (Multi-Layer Perceptron) algorithms in predicting subjective refraction were assessed in terms of mean absolute error (MAE) and root mean square error (RMSE). For comparison purposes, we determined the automatic refraction error, defined as the M component’s difference between automatic refraction and subjective refraction without a predictive model.

Results : Machine learning model using Random Forest algorithm had the best performance. Table 1 presents MAE and RMSE for M, J0 and J45 components with each algorithm. Main predictors among all attributes were: automatic refraction’s M, J0, J45, spherical power, and cylindrical power; lensmeter’s spherical power; uncorrected visual acuity; and keratometric astigmatism. Compared to automatic refraction error (0.71 ± 1.35 diopters), predictive model had a lower mean error (0.31 ± 0.61 diopters, p<0.01).

Conclusions : Artificial intelligence can predict subjective refraction from clinical data. Automatic refraction, uncorrected visual acuity, keratometry and current spectacle power provided the main predictors to the model. Automatic refraction alone had a significantly higher error than the predicted subjective refraction using machine learning algorithms.

This is a 2020 ARVO Annual Meeting abstract.

 

Mean absolute error (MAE) and root mean square error (RMSE) of the models using different algorithms for subjective refraction vectorial components (M, J0 and J45) prediction.

Mean absolute error (MAE) and root mean square error (RMSE) of the models using different algorithms for subjective refraction vectorial components (M, J0 and J45) prediction.

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