Statistical analyses were performed using IBM SPSS Statistics for Windows, version 29 (IBM Corp., Armonk, NY, USA) and R version 4.3.1 software (R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria). The R statistical software was also used for data visualization purposes using the ggplot2 package. All values are descriptively represented as mean ± SD. Considering a sample size of 72 eyes with kurtosis and skewness of ≤ ± 3.50 for all our outcome variables, normality was assumed, and parametric tests were performed for the data analyses. An independent sample
t-test was used to compare the difference in age between the groups. Because age was not significant between groups, it was not included as a covariate in our analysis. Considering the binocular eye measurements for the same subject in our study, generalized linear mixed-effects models (GLMMs) were used to assess the difference between preclinical AD and controls where the group served as a fixed effect, participants served as random effects, and the eyes served as the within-subject factor. Individual GLMMs were used to compare the difference in the surface area of putative retinal gliosis and RNFL thickness at the nine ETDRS sectors between groups, accounting for correlation between eyes (
Table 2). A
P value < 0.05 was considered significant and Cohen's
d was used as the effect size measure. An intercept-only mixed-model blocking on OCT region (which nests regions within subjects) was performed to assess association between the surface area of putative retinal gliosis and RNFL thickness across all regions (global RNFL thickness, evaluating the ETDRS regions as a 9-level factor rather than 9 individual models). From there, association between the surface area of putative retinal gliosis and RNFL thickness at the individual ETDRS sectors were examined using Pearson correlation coefficient (
Table 3). A mixed-model variation of the single Pearson correlations in
Table 3 was also performed to account for the eye as a within-subject factor (
Table 4). Absolute agreement, 2-way random-effects model on the k-rater average intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC; value > 0.75 considered acceptable)
69 with 95% confidence interval (CI) was also performed to evaluate the test-retest reliability of the intra-session gliosis measurements for all the 39 participants from the UAB ADRC and then separately for the 22 CU participants (35 eyes) from the same cohort. This was done to show that gliosis measurements were repeatable independent of clinical AD staging (test-retest reliability analysis for the 22 CU participants is analogous to the main 42 participants in our study). A Bland-Altman plot was used to evaluate the 95% limits of agreement between the 2 intra-session putative retinal gliosis measurements for the 39 participants from the UAB ADRC. A linear regression of the differences between the two sessions versus the average tested whether there was a proportional bias in the Bland-Altman plot.
70 An initial logistic regression model was created to obtain predictive probabilities for preclinical AD based on gliosis measurements only. A second logistic regression model was created using a combination of gliosis, inner inferior, inner superior, and inner nasal RNFL thicknesses to obtain predictive probabilities. The inner inferior, inner superior, and inner nasal RNFL thicknesses were chosen for the second model since they were close to significance when compared between the groups (see
Table 2). A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was constructed in both logistic regression models to assess the sensitivity, specificity, and area under the curve (AUC) to distinguish between the two regression designs. The maximum Youden's index was chosen to establish cutoffs (see
Supplementary Fig. S1). The following AUC categorization was used for the study: 0.5 to 0.6 = unsatisfactory, 0.6 to 0.7 = satisfactory, 0.7 to 0.8 = good, 0.8 to 0.9 = very good, and 0.9 to 1 = excellent.