Investigative Ophthalmology & Visual Science Cover Image for Volume 65, Issue 7
June 2024
Volume 65, Issue 7
Open Access
ARVO Annual Meeting Abstract  |   June 2024
Quantifying Geographic Atrophy Progression by Time to Foveal Center Involvement
Author Affiliations & Notes
  • Michael Heyang
    Department of Ophthalmology and Visual Science, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut, United States
  • Jay Stewart
    Department of Ophthalmology, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, California, United States
  • Ravi Parikh
    Department of Ophthalmology, New York University, New York, New York, United States
    Manhattan Retina and Eye Consultants, New York, New York, United States
  • Tiarnan D L Keenan
    Division of Epidemiology and Clinical Applications, National Eye Institute, Bethesda, Maryland, United States
  • Lucian V Del Priore
    Department of Ophthalmology and Visual Science, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut, United States
  • Liangbo Linus Shen
    Department of Ophthalmology, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, California, United States
  • Footnotes
    Commercial Relationships   Michael Heyang None; Jay Stewart Zeiss, Valitor, Long Bridge, Twenty Twenty, Merck, Code C (Consultant/Contractor), Long Bridge, Code I (Personal Financial Interest), Roche, Code R (Recipient); Ravi Parikh Anthem Blue Cross Blue Shield, Apellis Pharmaceuticals, Regeneron, GLG, Health and Wellness Partners, Axon Advisors LLC, Code C (Consultant/Contractor); Tiarnan Keenan None; Lucian Del Priore Tissue Regeneration Sciences, Code S (non-remunerative); Liangbo Shen Boehringer Ingelheim, Code C (Consultant/Contractor)
  • Footnotes
    Support  None
Investigative Ophthalmology & Visual Science June 2024, Vol.65, 1356. doi:
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      Michael Heyang, Jay Stewart, Ravi Parikh, Tiarnan D L Keenan, Lucian V Del Priore, Liangbo Linus Shen; Quantifying Geographic Atrophy Progression by Time to Foveal Center Involvement. Invest. Ophthalmol. Vis. Sci. 2024;65(7):1356.

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      © ARVO (1962-2015); The Authors (2016-present)

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Abstract

Purpose : Geographic atrophy (GA) involvement in the foveal center has been associated with decreased visual acuity and quality of life. We aimed to quantify the time for atrophic lesions to reach the foveal center based on GA growth rate.

Methods : This study included 718 eyes from 582 participants enrolled in the Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 with at least 2 visits of GA area measurements, without foveal involvement at baseline or neovascularization at any visit. GA growth rate (mm/yr) was calculated using the difference in square root transformed GA area between the last and first visit divided by the time interval. Kaplan-Meier curves were used to calculate the median time required for GA to reach the foveal center (survival time), and the Cox proportional hazards model was used to investigate the effect of covariates. The output of the multivariable Cox model was used to generate counterfactual, confounder-adjusted survival curves, where GA growth rate was set between 0.05 and 1 mm/yr.

Results : 321 (45%) of non-central GA eyes progressed to involvement of the foveal center. Median baseline distance from GA lesion edge to foveal center was 461 μm. Median survival time was 3.5 years. In the Cox model (Table 1), a higher baseline GA distance to foveal center was associated with a decreased risk of foveal center involvement. Higher age, baseline GA area, and GA growth rate were associated with an increased risk of center involvement, while number of GA lesions (configuration) was not significantly associated. In the counterfactual survival analysis, a 0.1 mm/yr decrease in GA growth rate was associated with a 0.29 year delay in the median time for GA to reach the foveal center. The results were consistent with a survival analysis stratified by GA growth rate (Figure 1).

Conclusions : Closer baseline GA proximity to foveal center, faster GA growth rate, higher baseline GA area, and older age increased the risk of foveal GA involvement. A 0.1 mm/yr decrease in GA growth rate is associated with an increase in median time to foveal involvement by 0.29 years.

This abstract was presented at the 2024 ARVO Annual Meeting, held in Seattle, WA, May 5-9, 2024.

 

Table 1. Multivariable Cox model

Table 1. Multivariable Cox model

 

Figure 1. Kaplan-Meier curves of eyes with baseline GA distance to foveal center between 200 and 800μm, stratified by GA growth rate. P-value obtained from log-rank test. Median survival times, in order of ascending GA growth rates, were 4.17 (red), 4.08 (green), and 3.08 (blue) years.

Figure 1. Kaplan-Meier curves of eyes with baseline GA distance to foveal center between 200 and 800μm, stratified by GA growth rate. P-value obtained from log-rank test. Median survival times, in order of ascending GA growth rates, were 4.17 (red), 4.08 (green), and 3.08 (blue) years.

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